Washington Football Team Scandal, Return of Sports and Trump v. Biden (through July)

Couple of things to get off my chest:

Washington Football Team Scandal

So over 24 hours prior to the Washington Post “bombshell” story that dropped on Thursday evening, this was the drip of info we were expecting to hear.

This was allegedly taken from a reddit page. Don’t know the source. Nothing.

Now look. The article is damning. It makes the Washington football team look bad. But a bombshell? Hardly. For the record I am not in anyway downplaying the allegations of sexual harassment one bit. But I have to be totally honest here too. If what I read in the Washington Post is all we are getting then this is going to be nothing but a slap on the wrist, possibly a fine from Roger Goddell and the NFL. Ultimately owner Dan Snyder will likely remain in place as the team owner. No team name and all.


The Return Of Sports

Sports in the age of Covid is going to be tricky. Best way to explain the percentages of chances this can work is to present individual odds by league:

NBA

Already bad optics with Russell Westbrook contracting COVID-19. Now the good news is he hasn’t entered the bubble with the rest of his Rockets teammates. But honestly the Association has to find a way to keep all of this together between now and late October. I got to be honest. The odds are against them.

40%

MLB

Honestly, there entire sports is mostly based on social distancing so it really shouldn’t be hard. Plus you can utilize the empty stadiums to space out the dugouts and such. I can see baseball making it to the finish line with little resistance.

85%

NFL

I’ve been saying for the last few weeks the closer we get to training camp/preseason the odds of football not being available to us to seem be closer to a reality. I will say that money will ultimately dictate whether we will have a season and for that I feel like there will at least part of one. Whether or not it gets to the finish line is a whole other argument.

50%

College Football

This is probably the one I am most confident we will not being seeing this fall. Ivey League schools have already started postponing their seasons, a few Big 5 conferences have made alterations to their schedules of conference only matchups. Plus there is talk of possibly pushing Division 1A college football to the spring.

Imagine that.

20%

NHL

Same scenario as the NBA. Although the good news thus far is that I have not heard any news of positive infections of the virus within the NHL ecosystem.

60%


Trump v. Biden (through July)

If the polls are a accurate depiction of what to come, we will have a new President. The problem? We are still more than 3 months away from Election Day. So much time for Joe Biden to throw in a gaffe or four. But what he does have on his side is a President in Donald Trump that cannot seem to find any footing in handling the myriad of issues between the Coronavirus pandemic, racial tensions and the works. There is serious deterioration surrounding the Trump campaign. So much that he’s already demoted his campaign manager Brad Parscale.

You may not believe in the polls but all of them are reflective of where we stand. Even conservatives polls like Rasmussen have acknowledged through mid-July that the President is trailing by a comfortable margin Nationally and states that typically would be in the bag for Republicans such as Texas, Arizona, Georgia are competitive enough that the Trump campaign has begun playing defense in those states and running aggressive ads to
hold the line.

Ultimately I do expect him to win at least two of those states I just stated (no pun intended) but Trump is definitely in serious danger of losing the ever important Democratic blue wall he managed to crack in 2016.

For starters he is getting destroyed in Wisconsin, a state he won by less than 1% over Hillary Clinton. Also Pennsylvania seems to be thus far heavily in the Joe Biden.

Again, there is more than 3 months to go. In the political world and especially in the era of Trump it feels like 3 years away.