Making Sense of the 2017 NFL MVP Odds

​The 2017 NFL season does not start for two months. Plus many of you who read this blog on a regular basis do not give a crap about Major League Baseball -- which by the way for the life of me I do not understand.

​With the sports calendar looking very thin as we move into the summer, it's not a bad thing to discuss the favorites for the NFL's Most Valuable Player award. 

Odds Shark has recently put out their list of candidates alongside their odds of wining the award as of today


2017 NFL MVP BETTING ODDS AS OF JUNE 26th
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Tom Brady (NE)+450
Aaron Rodgers (GB)+700
Derek Carr (OAK)+900
Ben Roethlisberger (PIT)+1000
Dak Prescott (DAL)+1200
Russell Wilson (SEA)+1200
Matt Ryan (ATL)+1600
Ezekiel Elliott (DAL)+2000
Cam Newton (CAR)+2500
Andrew Luck (IND)+2500
Drew Brees (NO)+2500
David Johnson (ARZ)+3300
Marcus Mariota (TEN)+3300
Le'Veon Bell (PIT)+3300
Antonio Brown (PIT)+5000
Julio Jones (ATL)+5000
Carson Palmer (ARZ)+5000
Sam Bradford (MIN)+5000
Matthew Stafford (DET)+5000
Eli Manning (NYG)+5000
Philip Rivers (LAC)+5000
Adrian Peterson (NO)+5000
Jameis Winston (TB)+5000
Kirk Cousins (WSH)+5000
Alex Smith (KC)+6600
Ryan Tannehill (MIA)+6600
Odell Beckham Jr. (NYG)+6600
JJ Watt (HOU)+6600
Rob Gronkowski (NE)+6600
Khalil Mack (OAK)+6600
TY Hilton (IND)+10000
Von Miller (DEN)+10000
Andy Dalton (CIN)+10000
Carson Wentz (PHI)+10000
Joe Flacco (BAL)+10000
Marshawn Lynch (OAK)+10000
LeSean McCoy (BUF)+10000
Blake Bortles (JAX)+10000
DeMarco Murray (TEN)+10000

First off, lets delete every running back off the list not named Ezekiel Elliot. Looking at this list it is honestly no surprise that it starts off with both Tom Brady and Aaron Rodgers at #1 and #2 respectably as odds on favorites.

What is shocking is that the current MVP Matt Ryan drops to 7th on the list and that probably stems from the fear that the Atlanta Falcons may not be able to create the magic that got them to the Super Bowl last season.

Then again considering the tragic way they lost to the Patriots in Super Bowl 51, can you honestly blame oddsmakers?

​28-3 = SAVAGE

​The best value play here in I believe is Seahawks QB Russell Wilson who happens to be 6th on the list. This is a huge crossroads season for Seattle who really have not had the most pleasant offseason. With rumors of team infighting and star defensive back Richard Sherman at one point on the trade block, 2017 can go sideways for Seattle.  Or Russell Wilson can save the season and bolt into the elite quarterback conversation. 

Another long shot value I would also consider is Tennessee's Marcus Mariota. I truly believe the Titans are primed for a run similar to what the Oakland Raiders did last year. As early as last season I bragged that the Titans have been rebuilding the right way. Starting in the trenches. Also this will be Mariota's third season in the league and he is trending upwards. Add the dynamics of a very weak AFC South and the entire AFC in-flux as a whole, it wouldn't be the worse thing in the world to drop a hundy on the former Oregon Ducks quarterback. 
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